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- <text id=89TT2723>
- <title>
- Oct. 16, 1989: If Southcom Had Acted
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1989
- Oct. 16, 1989 The Ivory Trail
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- NATION, Page 26
- If Southcom Had Acted
- </hdr><body>
- <p> If George Bush had ordered American forces to prevent
- Panamanian soldiers from reaching the headquarters where Manuel
- Noriega was bottled up, the U.S. surely had the military muscle
- to do the job. The 12,000 U.S. combat troops under the Southern
- Command far outstrip the 6,000-man Panama Defense Forces in
- both training and hardware. But civilian and military casualties
- would have been high, if only because the vital military
- installations are situated in downtown Panama City. As a Marine
- officer pointed out, "Even an M-1 rifle can kill a lot of people
- in a crowd."
- </p>
- <p> Washington says the rebels requested only that U.S. forces
- prevent two units of about 200 men with light infantry weapons
- from reaching Noriega at his headquarters. The Americans at Fort
- Amador obstructed the movement of the P.D.F. 5th Infantry
- Company, which shares the Amador base. American units from
- Howard Air Force base were positioned to block the nearby Bridge
- of the Americas over the canal to prevent the arrival of the
- P.D.F. 7th Infantry Company from its base some 60 miles
- southwest of the capital. In neither case were U.S. forces
- challenged.
- </p>
- <p> Panamanian rebel commander Moises Giroldi apparently
- ignored the even greater threat from Battalion 2000, based near
- the airport 15 miles east of Noriega's headquarters. This group
- of 800 officers and men has 90% of the P.D.F.'s firepower --
- including 120-mm mortars, rocket launchers and armored personnel
- carriers -- and many of its troops are Cuban-trained.
- Ultimately, it was units from Battalion 2000 that retook the
- headquarters and freed Noriega.
- </p>
- <p> No one can say for certain how well these soldiers might
- have fought markedly superior U.S. Army and Marine forces backed
- by helicopter gunships and operating from several scattered
- bases. Macho U.S. officers insist the beer-bellied P.D.F.
- regulars would not have dared to challenge them. Skeptics argue
- that the limited holding operation the rebels asked for would
- probably have failed and that U.S. forces would have been forced
- into a much bloodier fight.
- </p>
- <p> Even deadlier would have been any American attempt to seize
- Noriega when the coup leaders refused to turn him over, which
- would have pitted U.S. troops against not only the pro-Noriega
- forces but the rebels as well. Moreover, some units of the
- Dignidad paramilitary forces and the Doberman riot-control
- units, though badly trained and disciplined, might have resorted
- to subsequent guerrilla warfare. That would endanger not just
- American troops but also the 50,000 U.S. civilians living in
- Panama.
- </p>
-
- </body></article>
- </text>
-
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